Tennis · W75 Ourense · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kira Pavlova vs Eva Alvarez Sande
Team pages: Kira Pavlova · Eva Alvarez Sande
Prediction summary
Winner
Kira Pavlova
Eva Alvarez Sande
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Pavlova
5-5 (W-L)
Eva Alvarez Sande
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Pavlova 1489 · Eva Alvarez Sande 1520
| Kira Pavlova | Eva Alvarez Sande | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Kira Pavlova | Eva Alvarez Sande | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.7 | 11.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Pavlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Agra Amorim W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Matilde Mariani W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Eva Alvarez Sande
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sina Herrmann W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/05 | Allison Wang W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Isabella Foshee W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Malene Helgo ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Joy De Zeeuw ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Pavlova vs Eva Alvarez Sande?
Our model gives 65% to Kira Pavlova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.