Tennis · W75 Ourense · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
Team pages: Carmen Gallardo Guevara · Lucia Cortez Llorca
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
4-6 (W-L)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1535 · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1505
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Gallardo Guevara | Lucia Cortez Llorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.6 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Francesca Curmi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Matilde Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucia Natal W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Carlotta Moccia W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Elyse Tse W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Maxine Murphy W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lucia Cortez Llorca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Kiara Zabkova W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Lorena Schaedel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Aleksandra Zaplawa W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Viola Turini WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Lucia Cortez Llorca?
Our model gives 53% to Lucia Cortez Llorca, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.