Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 04/08, 15:00
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Kerem Yilmaz
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
10-0 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1567 · Kerem Yilmaz 1547
| Koki Matsuda | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.5 | 11.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 64.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Karan Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/08 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Fumin Jiang M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 63% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.