Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 04/08, 14:00
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Arda Azkara
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Arda Azkara
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Arda Azkara
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Arda Azkara
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1571 · Arda Azkara 1460
| Kenta Miyoshi | Arda Azkara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1571 vs 1460).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Arda Azkara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.1 | 9.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 19.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Arda Azkara?
Our model gives 70% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.