Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 04/08, 13:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Mert Naci Turker
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · Mert Naci Turker
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Mert Naci Turker
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
6-4 (W-L)
Mert Naci Turker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1489 · Mert Naci Turker 1545
| Alexandr Binda | Mert Naci Turker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mert Naci Turker (rating 1489 vs 1545).
- Note: Alexandr Binda makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Mert Naci Turker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.6 | 10.9-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Mert Naci Turker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Kuzey Kerem Bayrak Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Melih Anavatan M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Mert Naci Turker?
Our model gives 53% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.