Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 04/08, 12:30
Prediction: Monika Ekstrand vs Katarina Kuzmova
Team pages: Monika Ekstrand · Katarina Kuzmova
Prediction summary
Winner
Monika Ekstrand
Katarina Kuzmova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Monika Ekstrand
6-4 (W-L)
Katarina Kuzmova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monika Ekstrand 1563 · Katarina Kuzmova 1518
| Monika Ekstrand | Katarina Kuzmova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monika Ekstrand (rating 1563 vs 1518).
- Note: Monika Ekstrand makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Monika Ekstrand | Katarina Kuzmova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.1 | 10.8-10 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monika Ekstrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Ciara Moore W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Ellie Blackford W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Alice Gillan W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Rome |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Theadora Rabman W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Bianca Molnar W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Katarina Kuzmova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Kateryna Lazarenko W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monika Ekstrand vs Katarina Kuzmova?
Our model gives 56% to Katarina Kuzmova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.