Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 05/08, 11:00

Prediction: Brooke Black vs Monika Ekstrand

Team pages: Brooke Black · Monika Ekstrand

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Brooke Black Monika Ekstrand
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Brooke Black 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWLL
Monika Ekstrand 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brooke Black 1558 · Monika Ekstrand 1566
Brooke BlackMonika Ekstrand
Our model49%51%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Monika Ekstrand makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Brooke BlackMonika Ekstrand
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (4) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-0.8
Games (G-P)11-9.610.1-9.5
Aces1.12.3
Double faults2.55.5
1st serve %61.6%67.1%
Break %51.1%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brooke Black

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Savannah Dada Mascoll
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
31/07 Naiktha Bains
W35 Aldershot
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Emily Appleton
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Savannah Dada Mascoll
W35 Aldershot
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Oceane Dodin
W50 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L
14/07 Andre Lukosiute
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-4 W
07/06 Tereza Martincova
WTA Ilkley · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
13/12 Emma Jackson
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
12/12 Mia Slama
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/12 Heidi Bulger
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Monika Ekstrand

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Ciara Moore
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Ellie Blackford
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Hannah Klugman
W35 Aldershot
0-2 10-14 L
28/07 Alice Gillan
W35 Aldershot
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Jia-Jing Lu
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Ariana Arseneault
W35 Rome
0-2 3-12 L
21/06 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Theadora Rabman
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brooke Black vs Monika Ekstrand?

Our model gives 54% to Monika Ekstrand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.