Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 06/08, 12:30
Prediction: Hikaru Sato vs Amelia Rajecki
Team pages: Hikaru Sato · Amelia Rajecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Sato
Amelia Rajecki
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Amelia Rajecki
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Sato 1539 · Amelia Rajecki 1534
| Hikaru Sato | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Amelia Rajecki dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49.6% break avg.
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Hikaru Sato | Amelia Rajecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.1 | 10.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Anchisa Chanta W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Tzeng Mu-Jie W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Haruka Kaji W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Kayo Nishimura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Amelia Rajecki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Vendula Valdmannova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Britt Du Pree W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Eliz Maloney W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Suzan Lamens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Aoi Ito WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Sato vs Amelia Rajecki?
Our model gives 55% to Amelia Rajecki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.