Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mimi Xu vs Eliz Maloney
Team pages: Mimi Xu · Eliz Maloney
Prediction summary
Winner
Mimi Xu
Eliz Maloney
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mimi Xu
5-5 (W-L)
Eliz Maloney
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mimi Xu 1456 · Eliz Maloney 1535
| Mimi Xu | Eliz Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliz Maloney (rating 1456 vs 1535).
- Eliz Maloney is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Mimi Xu | Eliz Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.4 | 10.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 40% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/01 | Erika Andreeva W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Mai Hontama W75 Manama |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Martyna Kubka ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Jana Fett ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/12 | Maria Martinez Vaquero ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Eliz Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Mao Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Laura Cilekova W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Chloe Collins W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Ciara Moore W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Sophie Bekker W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mimi Xu vs Eliz Maloney?
Our model gives 50% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.