Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 04/08, 12:30

Prediction: Naho Sato vs Indianna Spink

Team pages: Naho Sato · Indianna Spink

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Naho Sato Indianna Spink
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLL
Indianna Spink 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1561 · Indianna Spink 1494
Naho SatoIndianna Spink
Our model60%40%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naho Sato (rating 1561 vs 1494).
  • Note: Indianna Spink makes many double faults (8.9/match).

Statistics

Naho SatoIndianna Spink
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.4-7.610-10.8
Aces0.12.9
Double faults28.9
1st serve %57.6%69.9%
Break %54.4%38.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naho Sato

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Linda Klimovicova
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
18/07 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/07 Gio Jang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Junlu Sun
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
25/06 Gyeong Seo Lee
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
23/06 Eunhye Lee
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Nao Phang Ziyi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
19/06 Dayeon Back
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
18/06 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Feier Hu
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Indianna Spink

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Naiktha Bains
W35 Aldershot
0-2 8-12 L
28/07 Sabine Rutlauka
W35 Aldershot
1-1 7-4 W
15/07 Emily Appleton
W50 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L
14/07 Angella Okutoyi
W50 Nottingham
2-1 14-13 W
09/07 Hanne Vandewinkel
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 1-11 L
08/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 14-12 W
06/07 Miroslava Medvedeva
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-1 17-12 W
05/07 Maria Garcia
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
20/06 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
10/06 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Indianna Spink?

Our model gives 59% to Naho Sato, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.