Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 17:00
Prediction: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizek
Team pages: Joel Schwaerzler · Jiri Cizek
Prediction summary
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler
Jiri Cizek
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joel Schwaerzler
3-7 (W-L)
Jiri Cizek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joel Schwaerzler 1428 · Jiri Cizek 1501
| Joel Schwaerzler | Jiri Cizek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Cizek (rating 1428 vs 1501).
- Jiri Cizek is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joel Schwaerzler | Jiri Cizek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.6 | 10.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jiri Cizek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Menelaos Efstathiou Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Patrick Jozwicki M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Essa Qabazard M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Enrique Bogo M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizek?
Our model gives 63% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.