Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 14:00
Prediction: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales
Team pages: Alex Martinez · Amit Vales
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Martinez
Amit Vales
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Amit Vales
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Martinez 1508 · Amit Vales 1494
| Alex Martinez | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alex Martinez | Amit Vales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.9 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Daniel Cukierman Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Andrin Casanova Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Marcus Walters Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Michael Zhu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales?
Our model gives 59% to Alex Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.