Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 14:00
Prediction: Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya Ivashka
Team pages: Ergi Kirkin · Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ergi Kirkin
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ergi Kirkin
0–1
Ilya Ivashka
(1 last)
- 19 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ergi Kirkin 1536 · Ilya Ivashka 1565
| Ergi Kirkin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ergi Kirkin 0–1 Ilya Ivashka (1).
Statistics
| Ergi Kirkin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 12.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Ergi Kirkin 0 – 1 Ilya Ivashka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ergi Kirkin 0–1 Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/20 Challenger Istanbul | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ergi Kirkin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Danil Panarin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 68% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.