Tennis · W15 Astana · 04/08, 08:30
Prediction: Satima Toregen vs Aglaya Fedorova
Team pages: Satima Toregen
Prediction summary
Winner
Satima Toregen
Aglaya Fedorova
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Satima Toregen
5-5 (W-L)
Aglaya Fedorova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Satima Toregen 1498 · Aglaya Fedorova 1498
| Satima Toregen | Aglaya Fedorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Satima Toregen makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Aglaya Fedorova makes many double faults (10.1/match).
Statistics
| Satima Toregen | Aglaya Fedorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.7 | 9.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 10.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 61% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Satima Toregen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Leonie Rabl W15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Sabrina Olimjanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Anjali Rathi W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Albina Kakenova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Demi Tran W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yaren Ozen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Maayan Laron ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Aglaya Fedorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Ximena Senties W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Erkezhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/04 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Nicole Gadient W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 09/04 | Karla Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 08/04 | Elena-Teodora Cadar W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Laima Vladson ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Satima Toregen vs Aglaya Fedorova?
Our model gives 66% to Aglaya Fedorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.