Tennis · W15 Astana · 04/08, 08:30
Prediction: Anna Bazderova vs Nelli Ivanova
Team pages: Anna Bazderova
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Bazderova
Nelli Ivanova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Bazderova
6-4 (W-L)
Nelli Ivanova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Bazderova 1570 · Nelli Ivanova 1512
| Anna Bazderova | Nelli Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Bazderova (rating 1570 vs 1512).
Statistics
| Anna Bazderova | Nelli Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-6.8 | 10.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Bazderova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Valeriia Krokhotina W15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Ximena Senties W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 30/05 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/05 | Armine Yesaian W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sofia Rocchetti W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nelli Ivanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Pooja Ingale W15 Astana |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Sarah Suljadzic W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Ani Amiraghyan W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/05 | Eva Zabolotnaia W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Julia Szczerek W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Doga Turkmen W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Bazderova vs Nelli Ivanova?
Our model gives 63% to Anna Bazderova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.