Tennis · W15 Astana · 05/08, 07:00
Prediction: Maria Mikhailova vs Ha Eum Lee
Team pages: Maria Mikhailova · Ha Eum Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Mikhailova
Ha Eum Lee
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Mikhailova
4-6 (W-L)
Ha Eum Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Mikhailova 1456 · Ha Eum Lee 1499
| Maria Mikhailova | Ha Eum Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ha Eum Lee (rating 1456 vs 1499).
- Note: Maria Mikhailova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Mikhailova | Ha Eum Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.4 | 9.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Mikhailova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Leonie Rabl W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Darya Kharlanova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Kira Bataikina W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ha Eum Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Jiyun Oh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Dabin Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Mikhailova vs Ha Eum Lee?
Our model gives 74% to Ha Eum Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.