Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 13:00

Prediction: Kerem Yilmaz vs Alec Deckers

Team pages: Kerem Yilmaz · Alec Deckers

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Kerem Yilmaz Alec Deckers
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kerem Yilmaz 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWLWWWW
Alec Deckers 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kerem Yilmaz 1526 · Alec Deckers 1534
Kerem YilmazAlec Deckers
Our model49%51%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kerem YilmazAlec Deckers
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-9.611.5-10.8
Aces0.47
Double faults3.73
1st serve %63.3%71.6%
Break %63.2%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kerem Yilmaz

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Maxim Zhukov
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
27/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
02/07 S Mert Ozdemir
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L
01/07 Elijah Strode
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/06 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/06 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 8-1 W
24/06 Fumin Jiang
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/06 Keshav Chopra
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
18/06 Felix Roussel
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Alec Deckers

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Samim Filiz
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/07 Charlie Robertson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
09/07 Andreas Timini
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-8 W
08/07 Udit Kamboj
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
02/07 Kriish Tyagi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/06 Charlie Robertson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-13 W
17/06 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
06/06 Bernard Tomic
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
27/05 Justin Schlageter
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kerem Yilmaz vs Alec Deckers?

Our model gives 64% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.