Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 03/08, 12:30
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Oscar Weightman
Team pages: Ilya Ivashka · Oscar Weightman
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Oscar Weightman
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
7-3 (W-L)
Oscar Weightman
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1572 · Oscar Weightman 1547
| Ilya Ivashka | Oscar Weightman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Oscar Weightman dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 43.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Oscar Weightman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Oscar Weightman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Adam Majchrzak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Edward Winter M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Devin Badenhorst Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Oscar Weightman?
Our model gives 66% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.