Tennis · W75 Ourense · 03/08, 13:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Team pages: Aleksandra Iankovskaia · Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
3-7 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1475 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1571
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1475 vs 1571).
- Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Iankovskaia | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-9.7 | 12.4-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Ylenia Zocco W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Capucine Dournes W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Lusia Maria Oprescu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Paredes Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Aysegul Mert W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Deva Raposo Serrano W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/07 | Ekaterina Dotsenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Aya El Sayed W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Iankovskaia vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 70% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.