Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 03/08, 11:00
Prediction: Ergi Kirkin vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Ergi Kirkin · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Ergi Kirkin
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ergi Kirkin 1526 · Oskari Paldanius 1502
| Ergi Kirkin | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ergi Kirkin | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.2 | 11.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Danil Panarin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ergi Kirkin vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 54% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.