Tennis · W75 Ourense · 03/08, 10:00
Prediction: Anna Kubareva vs Alice Ferlito
Team pages: Anna Kubareva · Alice Ferlito
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Kubareva
Alice Ferlito
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Kubareva
7-3 (W-L)
Alice Ferlito
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Kubareva 1580 · Alice Ferlito 1464
| Anna Kubareva | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kubareva (rating 1580 vs 1464).
- Anna Kubareva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Kubareva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Alice Ferlito makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Anna Kubareva | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.1 | 9.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Kubareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Min Liu W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alice Ferlito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaddi Gupta W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Maria B Bandera ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Claudia Ferrer Perez ITF W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Kubareva vs Alice Ferlito?
Our model gives 75% to Anna Kubareva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.