Tennis · W75 Ourense · 03/08, 11:30
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Valentina Losciale
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Valentina Losciale
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Valentina Losciale
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
3-7 (W-L)
Valentina Losciale
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1477 · Valentina Losciale 1516
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Valentina Losciale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Valentina Losciale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.2 | 9.8-7.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Yexin Ma W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Rina Saigo W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Valentina Losciale
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sofia Avataneo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Cayetana Gay W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Vanja Gudelj W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariana Franca W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Analu Freitas W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Carmen Lopez Martinez W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Valentina Losciale?
Our model gives 65% to Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.