Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1558 · Andrea Guerrieri 1501
| Olle Wallin | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1558 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.7 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 65% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Vincent Dullinger Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Luca Nardi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | David Goffin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 51% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.