Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena
Team pages: Tomasz Berkieta · Facundo Mena
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomasz Berkieta
Facundo Mena
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tomasz Berkieta
5-5 (W-L)
Facundo Mena
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomasz Berkieta 1526 · Facundo Mena 1460
| Tomasz Berkieta | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomasz Berkieta (rating 1526 vs 1460).
- Note: Tomasz Berkieta makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tomasz Berkieta | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.4 | 11.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 27.2% | 24.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomasz Berkieta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dominik Kellovsky Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/04 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena?
Our model gives 50% to Tomasz Berkieta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.