Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Philip Henning · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1479 · Maks Kasnikowski 1507
| Philip Henning | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.9 | 11.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 40% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 55% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.