Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 04/08, 11:00
Prediction: Filip Peliwo vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Team pages: Filip Peliwo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Peliwo
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Peliwo
4-6 (W-L)
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Peliwo 1448 · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1608
| Filip Peliwo | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Marrero Curbelo (rating 1448 vs 1608).
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Filip Peliwo | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12 | 11.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Peliwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ronald Hohmann M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Andreas Scott M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Matt Ponchet M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rafael Giotis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Laurence Teunissen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Peliwo vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo?
Our model gives 76% to Ivan Marrero Curbelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.