Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Semen Pankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Semen Pankin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Semen Pankin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1411 · Semen Pankin 1515
| Fajing Sun | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Semen Pankin (rating 1411 vs 1515).
- Semen Pankin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.6 | 12.4-11 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Dakotah Bobo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin?
Our model gives 55% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.