Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Adrian Boitan
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Gabi Adrian Boitan
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
2-8 (W-L)
Gabi Adrian Boitan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1451 · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1482
| Ilia Simakin | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-14.3 | 11.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 27.5% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Liam Draxl French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Semen Aginskiy M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/06 | David Ioan Morega M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 24/05 | Nathaniel Lammons Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Adrian Boitan?
Our model gives 57% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.