Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Lucio Ratti vs Max Basing
Team pages: Lucio Ratti · Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucio Ratti
Max Basing
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucio Ratti
6-4 (W-L)
Max Basing
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucio Ratti 1595 · Max Basing 1534
| Lucio Ratti | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucio Ratti (rating 1595 vs 1534).
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Lucio Ratti | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.6 | 13.2-13.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Filippo Mazzola Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucio Ratti vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 58% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.