Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Vadym Ursu vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Vadym Ursu · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Vadym Ursu
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vadym Ursu
1–0
Tiago Pereira
(1 last)
- 28 Jul2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vadym Ursu 1481 · Tiago Pereira 1557
| Vadym Ursu | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1481 vs 1557).
- Tiago Pereira is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vadym Ursu 1–0 Tiago Pereira (1).
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Vadym Ursu | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.7 | 13.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 31% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Vadym Ursu 1 – 0 Tiago Pereira (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vadym Ursu 1–0 Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/24 Challenger Porto | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vadym Ursu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vadym Ursu vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 68% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.