Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo
Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Antoine Ghibaudo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Antoine Ghibaudo
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
9-1 (W-L)
Antoine Ghibaudo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1573 · Antoine Ghibaudo 1423
| Tuncay Duran | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuncay Duran (rating 1573 vs 1423).
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 48.8% break avg.
- Tuncay Duran is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.2 | 9.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 81.1% | 66% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 21.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Antoine Ghibaudo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/05 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Michael Zheng French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo?
Our model gives 57% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.