Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain
Team pages: Dan Added · Lucas Poullain
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
8-2 (W-L)
Lucas Poullain
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dan Added
2–1
Lucas Poullain
(3 last)
- 28 Jul2-1 15-13W
- 06 Apr2-1 18-16W
- 07 Jul0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1509 · Lucas Poullain 1441
| Dan Added | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1509 vs 1441).
- Dan Added is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dan Added 2–1 Lucas Poullain (3).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.4 | 8.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 35% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Dan Added 2 – 1 Lucas Poullain (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dan Added 2–1 Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/26 Challenger Samsun | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/04/25 ITF M15 Lons-le-Saunier | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 07/07/23 M25 Ajaccio | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Vadym Ursu M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Loann Massard Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model gives 56% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.