Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 02/08, 12:30
Prediction: Matilde Mariani vs Jodie Anna Burrage
Team pages: Matilde Mariani · Jodie Anna Burrage
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Mariani
Jodie Anna Burrage
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Mariani
5-5 (W-L)
Jodie Anna Burrage
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Mariani 1492 · Jodie Anna Burrage 1488
| Matilde Mariani | Jodie Anna Burrage | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jodie Anna Burrage dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 48% break avg.
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Jodie Anna Burrage makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Mariani | Jodie Anna Burrage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.4 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Ciara Moore W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Eloise Newberry W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Summer Yardley W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
Jodie Anna Burrage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Britt Du Pree W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 29/07 | Sinead Lohan W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/07 | Kate Gardiner W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Margot Phanthala W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Greet Minnen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Mariani vs Jodie Anna Burrage?
Our model gives 72% to Jodie Anna Burrage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.