Tennis · W35 Roehampton · 02/08, 12:30

Prediction: Sara Milanese vs Chloe Noel

Team pages: Sara Milanese · Chloe Noel

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Sara Milanese Chloe Noel
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Milanese 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLWL
Chloe Noel 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sara Milanese 1496 · Chloe Noel 1557
Sara MilaneseChloe Noel
Our model41%59%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chloe Noel (rating 1496 vs 1557).

Statistics

Sara MilaneseChloe Noel
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.4-0.8
Games (G-P)9.5-10.210.2-8.4
Aces1.93.9
Double faults3.92.7
1st serve %58.9%71.6%
Break %60.7%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sara Milanese

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Kristina Paskauskas
W35 Aldershot
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Rosie Cho
W35 Aldershot
2-1 13-10 W
16/07 Chelsea Fontenel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
12/06 Polina Iatcenko
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/06 Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
10/06 Aya El Sayed
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 13-13 W
08/06 Agata Prepslova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 11-0 W
31/05 Alena Kovackova
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Chloe Noel

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Valentina Ryser
W50 Dublin
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Weronika Ewald
W50 Dublin
2-1 13-13 W
29/07 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Dublin
2-1 17-15 W
27/07 Caterina Odorizzi
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-3 W
26/07 Olivia Gram
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 13-6 W
13/07 Stefaniya Pushkar
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Polina Isakova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sara Milanese vs Chloe Noel?

Our model gives 67% to Chloe Noel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.