Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 05/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Monika Wojcik
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Monika Wojcik
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Monika Wojcik
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
6-4 (W-L)
Monika Wojcik
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1593 · Monika Wojcik 1465
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Monika Wojcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1593 vs 1465).
- Ava Esposito Cogan is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Monika Wojcik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.5 | 9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Alejandra Cruz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Monika Wojcik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Natalia Fehr W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Charlotte Benedetti Ravon W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/12 | Jasmine Conway UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Monika Wojcik?
Our model gives 77% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.