Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 05/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Kaya Moe
Team pages: Lexie Weir · Kaya Moe
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Kaya Moe
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
5-5 (W-L)
Kaya Moe
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1540 · Kaya Moe 1533
| Lexie Weir | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kaya Moe makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.2 | 10.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kaya Moe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/05 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Serafima Elizarova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/03 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Victoriaville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Sofia Johnson W15 Victoriaville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 12/03 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Victoriaville |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Kaya Moe?
Our model gives 62% to Kaya Moe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.