Tennis · W75 Ourense · 02/08, 11:30
Prediction: Sofia Avataneo vs Valentina Losciale
Team pages: Sofia Avataneo
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Avataneo
Valentina Losciale
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Avataneo
4-6 (W-L)
Valentina Losciale
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sofia Avataneo
1–0
Valentina Losciale
(1 last)
- 22 Apr2-1 20-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Avataneo 1452 · Valentina Losciale 1514
| Sofia Avataneo | Valentina Losciale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Losciale (rating 1452 vs 1514).
- Valentina Losciale is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sofia Avataneo 1–0 Valentina Losciale (1).
Statistics
| Sofia Avataneo | Valentina Losciale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.9 | 9.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 51.5% | 64% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Sofia Avataneo 1 – 0 Valentina Losciale (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofia Avataneo 1–0 Valentina Losciale
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/24 W15 Antalya | 2-1 | 20-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Avataneo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Maria De La Paz Alberto W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 25/06 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Mika Buchnik W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Sapir Cohen W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/05 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Valentina Losciale
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Cayetana Gay W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Vanja Gudelj W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariana Franca W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Analu Freitas W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Carmen Lopez Martinez W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Polina Isakova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Avataneo vs Valentina Losciale?
Our model gives 69% to Valentina Losciale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.