Tennis · W75 Ourense · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Aleksandra Iankovskaia

Team pages: Aleksandra Iankovskaia

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Yuliya Hatouka Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWL
Aleksandra Iankovskaia 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1534 · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1454
Yuliya HatoukaAleksandra Iankovskaia
Our model61%39%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuliya Hatouka (rating 1534 vs 1454).
  • Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (6.9/match).
  • Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Yuliya HatoukaAleksandra Iankovskaia
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.10.8-1.3
Games (G-P)10-9.66.8-9.7
Aces0.71.1
Double faults6.96.1
1st serve %60.3%61.2%
Break %46.5%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuliya Hatouka

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/06 Viola Turini
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/05 Eva Lopez
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-1 8-5 W
05/05 Adithya Karunaratne
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/04 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/04 Mara Guth
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/04 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/04 Eliz Maloney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/04 Esther Adeshina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
01/04 Fiona Ganz
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
24/03 Elena Milovanovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L

Aleksandra Iankovskaia

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Ylenia Zocco
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Capucine Dournes
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 10-6 W
12/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Lusia Maria Oprescu
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Maria Paredes Perez
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/06 Belle Thompson
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/05 Aysegul Mert
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/05 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L
20/05 Mimi Xu
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Aleksandra Iankovskaia?

Our model gives 72% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.