Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/08, 11:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Leo Raquillet
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Leo Raquillet
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Leo Raquillet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1459 · Leo Raquillet 1454
| Oskari Paldanius | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.6 | 11.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Ribero Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet?
Our model gives 55% to Leo Raquillet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.