Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: Alan Bojarski vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Bojarski
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Bojarski
5-5 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Bojarski 1451 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1616
| Alan Bojarski | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1451 vs 1616).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alan Bojarski | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.8 | 12.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 29.6% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Bojarski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Mikolaj Borkowski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Matyas Fuele ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 20/11 | Arthur Nagel ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Jeremy Schifris ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Bojarski vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 81% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.