Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: Maxim Zhukov vs Kerem Yilmaz
Team pages: Kerem Yilmaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Zhukov
Kerem Yilmaz
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Zhukov
6-4 (W-L)
Kerem Yilmaz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Zhukov 1571 · Kerem Yilmaz 1517
| Maxim Zhukov | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Zhukov (rating 1571 vs 1517).
Statistics
| Maxim Zhukov | Kerem Yilmaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.1 | 10.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Zhukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/03 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 21/03 | Evgeny Philippov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/03 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/03 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 17/03 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Fumin Jiang M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Felix Roussel M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Zhukov vs Kerem Yilmaz?
Our model gives 62% to Maxim Zhukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.