Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 02/08, 12:00
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Maxwell McKennon
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Maxwell McKennon
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Maxwell McKennon
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
5-5 (W-L)
Maxwell McKennon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1530 · Maxwell McKennon 1469
| Colin Sinclair | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colin Sinclair (rating 1530 vs 1469).
- Colin Sinclair is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Maxwell McKennon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Aly Geldyev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ganuka Fernando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Mossa Alharrasi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Maxwell McKennon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Samim Filiz Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Luke Hooper M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 24/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Maxwell McKennon?
Our model gives 51% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.