Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 02/08, 13:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs S Mert Ozdemir
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · S Mert Ozdemir
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
S Mert Ozdemir
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
5-5 (W-L)
S Mert Ozdemir
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1456 · S Mert Ozdemir 1457
| Alexandr Binda | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexandr Binda makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: S Mert Ozdemir makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.8 | 10.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
S Mert Ozdemir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniel Blazka M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/04 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/02 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 25/11 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 02/10 | Ilya Ignatov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs S Mert Ozdemir?
Our model gives 72% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.