Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/08, 15:30
Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Kenny de Schepper
Team pages: Alexander Donski · Kenny de Schepper
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Donski
Kenny de Schepper
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Donski
5-5 (W-L)
Kenny de Schepper
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1516 · Kenny de Schepper 1432
| Alexander Donski | Kenny de Schepper | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Donski (rating 1516 vs 1432).
- Alexander Donski dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Alexander Donski is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alexander Donski makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Donski | Kenny de Schepper | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.2 | 8.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Donski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Erik Grevelius Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Kenny de Schepper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Elijah Sanogo M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Marvin Moeller M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Vic |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Florian Broska M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Tom Paris M25 Toulouse |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Kenny de Schepper?
Our model gives 67% to Alexander Donski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.