Tennis · ATP Washington · 01/08, 02:00
Prediction: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Alejandro Tabilo · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
28.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Tabilo
3-7 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Tabilo 1477 · Ben Shelton 1557
| Alejandro Tabilo | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Shelton (rating 1477 vs 1557).
- Ben Shelton is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ben Shelton makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Tabilo | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-15 | 17.7-16.2 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 12.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 25% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +6.1
Over 22.5: 86% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 14% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Tabilo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 23/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
Ben Shelton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 19/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 13/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 67% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.