Tennis · M15 Xativa · 31/07, 18:30
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Ignacio Parisca Romera
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Ignacio Parisca Romera
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Lagutin
1–0
Ignacio Parisca Romera
(1 last)
- 23 Jul2-0 7-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1633 · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1532
| Pavel Lagutin | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1633 vs 1532).
- Head-to-head: Pavel Lagutin 1–0 Ignacio Parisca Romera (1).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-5.6 | 11-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Pavel Lagutin 1 – 0 Ignacio Parisca Romera (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Lagutin 1–0 Ignacio Parisca Romera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 M25 Denia | 2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Ignacio Parisca Romera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca Romera?
Our model gives 65% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.