Tennis · M15 Xativa · 30/07, 19:00
Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Sergi Fita Juan
Team pages: Pedro Rodenas · Sergi Fita Juan
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Rodenas
Sergi Fita Juan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Sergi Fita Juan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Rodenas
1–0
Sergi Fita Juan
(1 last)
- 22 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1572 · Sergi Fita Juan 1524
| Pedro Rodenas | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1572 vs 1524).
- Head-to-head: Pedro Rodenas 1–0 Sergi Fita Juan (1).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Rodenas | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.2 | 11.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Pedro Rodenas 1 – 0 Sergi Fita Juan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Rodenas 1–0 Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 M25 Denia | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Marc Martin Roca M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Julien Dando M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Sergi Fita Juan?
Our model gives 68% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.