Tennis · M15 Xativa · 31/07, 18:30
Prediction: Eric Vanshelboim vs Herman Hoeyeraal
Team pages: Eric Vanshelboim · Herman Hoeyeraal
Prediction summary
Winner
Eric Vanshelboim
Herman Hoeyeraal
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Vanshelboim
7-3 (W-L)
Herman Hoeyeraal
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eric Vanshelboim 1588 · Herman Hoeyeraal 1546
| Eric Vanshelboim | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1588 vs 1546).
- Herman Hoeyeraal dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Eric Vanshelboim | Herman Hoeyeraal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.2 | 11.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Carles Cordoba M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thomas Miranda M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Regas M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Finn Bass Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Phoenix Weir Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eric Vanshelboim vs Herman Hoeyeraal?
Our model gives 62% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.