Tennis · M15 Xativa · 31/07, 10:00

Prediction: Carles Hernandez vs Miguel Angel Machado

Team pages: Carles Hernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Carles Hernandez Miguel Angel Machado
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carles Hernandez 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLWW
Miguel Angel Machado 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carles Hernandez 1560 · Miguel Angel Machado 1589
Carles HernandezMiguel Angel Machado
Our model46%54%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Carles HernandezMiguel Angel Machado
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 100% (4) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.6-0.5
Games (G-P)12.6-10.510.2-7.2
Aces11.2
Double faults2.63.8
1st serve %61.6%67.3%
Break %54.4%64.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carles Hernandez

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Xativa
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Adam Lynch
M15 Xativa
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Denia
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia
1-2 17-19 L
05/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
04/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/07 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 14-6 W
01/07 Rafael Ymer
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
24/06 Oscar Weightman
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Miguel Angel Machado

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Matyas Fuele
M15 Xativa
2-0 9-7 W
29/07 Amaan Siddiqui
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Nathan Walters
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-2 W
25/06 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
24/06 Reda El Aouni
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
23/06 Javier Molino
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
31/05 Keoni Puig Mccallan
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
30/05 Ausias Martin Melo
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/05 Darius Florin Pop
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/05 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carles Hernandez vs Miguel Angel Machado?

Our model gives 64% to Carles Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.