Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ireland O'Brien vs Ava Esposito Cogan
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan
Prediction summary
Winner
Ireland O'Brien
Ava Esposito Cogan
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ireland O'Brien
5-5 (W-L)
Ava Esposito Cogan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ireland O'Brien 1538 · Ava Esposito Cogan 1537
| Ireland O'Brien | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Ireland O'Brien | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.7 | 12.6-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ireland O'Brien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Liz Pinson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/01 | Shradha Grover UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/01 | Victoria Bervid UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/12 | Mia Slama UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/12 | Katerina Shabashkevich UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Carson Tanguilig ITF W15 Hilton Head · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Claire Hill ITF W15 Hilton Head · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Alejandra Cruz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ireland O'Brien vs Ava Esposito Cogan?
Our model gives 55% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.